The Elephant In The Room - Population (originally published on inteldaily.com March 2011)
Simply mention the word ‘population’ and some people get into an
immediate state of apoplexy and start making accusations such as ‘Eugenicist‘,
‘Nazi’ or stooge of the ‘New World Order’. Such knee-jerk
reactions are not entirely surprising given the extreme opinions expressed by
Malthusians, some members of the Fabian Society and indeed former members of
the German Third Reich.
However, despite the distasteful associations of the population issue, population
does indeed remain an important issue that will have a significant impact on
the future of the human race and the future of our planet. So one must first
ask the question - is the world either overpopulated or becoming overpopulated?
Statistics regarding world population and population growth are widely available
and it is immediately apparent that growth of the human population in the last
six thousand years has been on an almost exponential curve, with numbers accelerating
greatly in the 20th century in particular. The current population of the world
stands at approx 6.9 billion and growing. Although the rate of growth is slowing
to approx 1.1% per year and is expected to continue slowing, it is likely that
by 2050 the human population will be between 9 and 10 billion.
So clearly, population is increasing and will continue to do so for some decades
unless measures are taken to prevent it. What is at issue here is really what
are the effects of a continued rise and if it is necessary or justified to attempt
to control the population? Also of prime importance is the issue of how population
be controlled - gas chambers, sterilizations, immuno-suppression etc might spring
to mind given the hysteria surrounding this subject, but these ideas fall into
the arena of madness and despotism, rarely does one get the chance to actually
discuss how a humane and fair way be found to control population.
Of course, population control assumes that high population is in fact a problem.
So now let us quickly look at some of the problems that have arisen in the world
during the ballooning of the human population. There is an interesting correlation
between human population expansion and extinctions -there have been five major
mass extinctions in Earth’s history, thought to have been caused by natural
phenomena. However, a 1998 survey of 400 biologists around the world found that
approx 70% of them believed that a human caused phase of extinctions was beginning.
Furthermore it was predicted that up to 20% of all current species could be
eliminated by 2028 as a result of habitat loss, pollution, redistribution of
species and competition with humans.
Some might argue that declines in species and extinctions are not caused by
human activity or increasing human numbers, but the scientific findings and
actual hard evidence seems to give a clear indication that it is our actions
and expansion that is the cause.
There have been arguments made that there is plenty of space and plenty of food
to go round, one such article I read recently suggested that the Earth could
comfortably support and feed 50 billion people. It would indeed be possible
to physically fit 50 billion people onto the currently viable land available,
however no account was made for the continual contraction of viable land due
to soil salination, pollution and desertification. Desertification alone is
becoming a major problem, with an annual desertification rate of approx 3.5%
of land becoming seriously degraded, this is a worrying trend that will have
a huge impact on food supplies and living space. Another factor that was ignored
is where all of the other organisms are going to live once all of these extra
people come into existence - humans push out other species and reduce the biodiversity
and habitat in areas that were formerly without a significant human population.
This may not seem a problem to some, but would you really like to live in a
world populated by mainly humans, livestock and edible plants, with everything
‘superfluous’ forced into decline or extinction?
Clearly, the consequences of allowing the world human population to explode
are going to be dire. At current levels the availability and distribution of
food is extremely unsatisfactory with approximately one third of the world population
living in absolute poverty. If we cannot find a way to support the current world
population and provide basic food, health, housing and education needs to everyone
or the vast majority then how much worse will the situation be if the population
is half as big again?
No-one wants to discuss this issue because it is too emotive and too explosive
- it’s easier to run away from it or sweep it under the carpet than have
an honest, informed and fair discussion of a vitally important factor in the
world’s future. It is indeed likely that certain people in positions of
power, so called Elites or the ‘hidden hands’ that control the world
have specific ideas about how to handle the population problem. Perhaps this
is the very reason that there is no debate about this issue in the mainstream
media, perhaps there is an agenda to quietly and stealthily reduce human numbers
to what ‘they’ consider an acceptable level? If a secret agenda
is a reality then it makes it all the more important for this subject to be
discussed openly by ordinary people so that the horrific solutions that we most
fear may be avoided.
It is my belief that human population is becoming a severe problem, however,
unlike the extremists I believe that a more stable and sustainable population
could be achieved voluntarily rather than through coercion or deception. In
developed countries there is an undeniable correlation between elimination of
poverty and declining growth rates. Surely when child mortality drops, education,
healthcare, availability of food and water, decent housing, sanitation etc are
widely available then the need for a high birth rate is no longer there? When
people are more prosperous they tend to have smaller families and that I believe
is the key to maintaining human numbers at a level that will benefit humanity
and all the species of this planet.
In order to achieve that goal it is necessary for the current unfair economic
system, found in most of the world, to be dismantled or re-invented. While inequality
and injustice continues across the planet then birth rates and population growth
will continue to be high in impoverished countries - to the detriment of all
life. If we really want a better life for ourselves, our children and a fair
chance for all creatures that live here then we need to acknowledge the reality
of this problem. By working together to find creative and fair solutions we
might finally develop a model for living that truly tackles issues of poverty
and inequality and thereby prevent an unprecedented disaster for future generations.